Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Match Predictions
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Ajax have solid short-term form (1.5 pts/game) and medium-term form (1.42), with a +13 goal difference over 12 matches. NEC Nijmegen are in moderate form (1.67 over 6, 2.0 over 12) but have a -1 goal difference. The ELO model gives Ajax a fair price of 1.64, much shorter than the market's 1.35, indicating significant value. The Poisson expected goals also favour Ajax (2.11 vs 1.80).
odds available at 09:45
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 03:56
Ajax
1.37
The Draw
6.20
NEC Nijmegen
8.80
BTTS - Yes
1.56
BTTS - No
2.70
Under 1.5 Goals
11.00
Over 1.5 Goals
1.09
Under 2.5 Goals
4.10
Over 2.5 Goals
1.31
Under 3.5 Goals
2.26
Over 3.5 Goals
1.79