Both time‑window models price the over around 1.5–1.6 and Poisson totals exceed 3.2. BTTS is also short, aligning with a goals‑lean.

odds available at 09:45

All predictive models indicate that Besiktas are overrated at the current market price, with fair odds suggested to be between 2.31 and 3.94. Besiktas have a poor record when playing away at Alanyaspor, failing to win in their last six visits. While recent news suggests Besiktas are in strong form this season, the analysis and historical context suggest this will be a much closer game than the odds imply.

odds available at 09:45

Besiktas's away performance metrics do not justify heavy market favoritism; statistical consensus averages a 34% win probability versus the market's implied 53% from the lay price, indicating clear value in opposing their victory.

odds available at 09:45

The Poisson model projects 3.29 total goals (1.97 + 1.32 xG) with predicted Over 2.5 fair odds of 1.49-1.57, well below the market's 1.95. Both teams contribute meaningful expected goals, supporting a high-scoring game regardless of the match winner.

odds available at 09:45

Besiktas travels to face an Alanyaspor team possessing competitive expected goals data. Evaluated across 12-match form, goal difference, and ELO ratings, fair odds for a Besiktas away win span from 2.31 to 3.94, highlighting clear value in laying the market favorite at 1.88.

odds available at 09:45