Angers
Marseille
Match Predictions
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
Marseille are priced as strong away favourites despite a poor short-term attacking output of just 0.5 expected goals per game. Medium-term models and ELO ratings all price the away win significantly higher than the market's 2.02, making a lay against the visitors the value play.
odds available at 09:45
gemini-3.6-flash
Short-term (1.18) and medium-term (1.30) Poisson goal models both show fair odds for under 2.5 goals far below the generous 2.46 market price. Combined expected goals over the last 6 matches average a paltry 1.33 xG, indicating strong statistical value on a low-scoring contest.
odds available at 09:45
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 17:55
Angers
4.30
The Draw
4.10
Marseille
1.89
BTTS - Yes
1.59
BTTS - No
2.58
Under 1.5 Goals
5.80
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
Under 2.5 Goals
2.58
Over 2.5 Goals
1.61
Under 3.5 Goals
1.64
Over 3.5 Goals
2.54