Annecy’s recent form and xG edge are strong, and both form-based and ELO models make the hosts closer to 2.0–2.3. The market appears to underrate Annecy at home.

odds available at 10:45

Annecy have excellent short-term form with a score of 2.17 over the last 6 matches and a positive goal difference of 5, compared to Troyes' form of 1.67 and negative goal difference. The statistical model gives Annecy fair odds of around 2.05, significantly lower than the market's 2.96, suggesting substantial value in backing the home side. The ELO model also strongly favours Annecy with fair odds of 2.25.

odds available at 10:45

The market prices this as a very close match, but multiple statistical models, including ELO and goal-difference based projections, indicate the home side should be a much clearer favourite. Annecy's strong recent home form contrasts with the market odds, presenting significant value.

odds available at 10:45

Annecy has shown strong short-term form and home advantage, with the predicted odds suggesting the market is undervaluing their chances. The 2.96 odds provide value for a back bet.

odds available at 10:45

Annecy shows strong recent home form and a solid ELO rating advantage. The market price of 2.96 offers value compared to the predicted fair odds of 2.25, indicating the market may be overestimating the away team's chances.

odds available at 10:45