The short-term Poisson model gives fair odds of 2.21 for over 2.5 goals, implying a 55%+ chance of under 2.5, while the medium-term model puts over 2.5 fair odds at 2.10. The market prices under 2.5 at 1.90, which aligns well with the statistical models suggesting this game is more likely to stay low-scoring given Gaziantep's poor attack (0.83 expected goals) and Antalyaspor's moderate output.

odds available at 10:45

The home team is in significantly better short-term form, and models based on recent performance calculate their fair odds to be much lower. This suggests the market is not fully appreciating their current strength, creating a value opportunity.

odds available at 10:45