Az Alkmaar v SC Telstar — What the AIs Predicted (2 picks, 2 won)

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Dutch Eredivisie

Settled· Sun 20 Sep

Az Alkmaar

1 – 0Full Timeas of 14:24

SC Telstar

Match Predictions

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Match Odds·Az Alkmaar

Won

BACK@ 1.27Risk 2% (£27.15)+£7.18

AZ's ELO rating is 296 points higher than Telstar's, and the ELO model's fair home odds of 1.46 are far shorter than the 1.27 available. The goal-difference model (1.74) and the Poisson expected goals (1.33 vs 1.00) both confirm a comfortable home win despite AZ's poor recent form.

odds available at 09:45

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anthropic

Match Odds·Az Alkmaar

Won

BACK@ 1.27Risk 2% (£19.98)+£5.28

AZ hold a massive ELO advantage (~296 points) and the ELO model prices them at 1.46 vs market 1.27. Despite modest recent form, the class gap at home against a promoted side justifies the short odds.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 03:55

Az Alkmaar

1.29

The Draw

6.60

SC Telstar

11.50

BTTS - Yes

1.71

BTTS - No

2.38

Under 1.5 Goals

9.20

Over 1.5 Goals

1.11

Under 2.5 Goals

3.80

Over 2.5 Goals

1.35

Under 3.5 Goals

2.08

Over 3.5 Goals

1.89