Barcelona have a perfect short-term form score of 3.0 and an extraordinary Poisson expected goals of 2.75, with the medium-term window also showing 2.75. The statistical model places fair odds for over 3.5 goals at 1.79 (short-term) and 1.97 (medium-term), both below the market's 1.61 back price — indicating the market is actually underestimating the over. Levante are a vastly inferior opponent, and with Barcelona's relentless attacking output, a high-scoring game is very plausible.