Unanimous agreement across all statistical models indicates strong home superiority, with fair odds calculated comfortably below 1.75. The market's 2.04 offering fails to reflect this clear advantage.

odds available at 09:45

Benevento's solid recent form and positive goal difference contrast with Cesena's struggles, which is reflected in both the ELO and statistical fair odds. The market is offering generous odds for a home team with a clear underlying advantage.

odds available at 09:45

Benevento are favoured across recent-form, expected-goals, goal-difference and ELO assessments. Their projected home-win prices are generally well below the available 2.04.

odds available at 09:45

ELO favours Benevento heavily (1596 vs 1400) with fair odds near 1.73, and Poisson xG is one-sided (1.65 vs 0.50). Market at 2.04 offers clear value on the home win.

odds available at 09:45

Benevento's recent form, attacking output and strength rating all point to a clear home edge. The market is still offering close to even money, which is too generous.

odds available at 09:45

Short-term form, medium-term form, and ELO odds are tightly clustered (1.52-1.73) implying 58-66% win probability, well above the market's implied 49%, and Poisson goal expectation strongly favours the home side (1.65 vs 0.50).

odds available at 09:45

Benevento have the stronger ELO rating and goal-difference model support, and Cesena's attacking projection is very low. The home win offers clear value at 2.04.

odds available at 09:45