Both sides are in excellent scoring form (2.33 and 1.83 ppg) with combined expected goals of 3.76 in the short-term window and 3.75 over 12 matches. The Poisson model gives a fair BTTS price of 1.39, much shorter than the 1.60 available, so the market is underestimating the likelihood of both teams scoring.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams bring strong recent form and the expected-goals numbers point to an open game in both the short and medium windows. The projected fair odds for over 2.5 goals are clearly below the market price, giving a solid value case.

odds available at 09:45

Both the 6-match and 12-match Poisson windows independently price over 2.5 goals at around 1.4, well short of the 1.68 available. Both teams are in strong recent form (2.33 and 1.83 points per game), both carry positive goal differences, and the combined expected-goal figures are high across both sample windows, so the goals case is supported by more than one metric.

odds available at 09:45

Both sides are in excellent attacking form with combined expected goals near 3.8, and the goal models consistently price over 2.5 at 1.38 across both windows, well below the market's 1.68.

odds available at 09:45