Both teams project low expected goals across the short and medium windows, and both-teams-to-score is not rated highly by the models. That points to a lower-scoring game more often than this even-money line suggests.

odds available at 09:45

Both sides show low recent expected goals and poor scoring form, so the Poisson totals lean heavily under. Market odds imply a coin-flip for under 2.5 while the underlying attack profiles point closer to a 60% chance of a low-scoring game.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams have struggled offensively, each averaging expected goals under 1.0 per match across short and medium-term windows. The Poisson goal expectation model projects a high likelihood of a low-scoring game, making the even-money back price on Under 2.5 Goals an outstanding value play.

odds available at 09:45