Both teams' Poisson expected goals are 1.81 in both the short and medium windows, and fair BTTS odds are modelled at 1.30–1.43. The market price of 1.53 implies only 65% probability when the data consistently suggests 70–77%, offering a clear and explainable edge.

odds available at 09:55

BTTS predicted fair odds of 1.30 (short-term) and 1.43 (medium-term) against market odds of 1.53. Combined Poisson xG of 3.62 (short-term) and 4.20 (medium-term) with both teams contributing roughly equal shares. The high expected goals on both sides make BTTS the cleanest value expression in this fixture.

odds available at 09:55

Both teams show high expected-goals figures on the recent and medium-term windows, and the fair price for over 2.5 goals is well inside the market quote. The both-teams-to-score projection points the same way, supporting a goals game.

odds available at 09:55

Expected goals over both windows are very high, with attacking tendencies from both sides. Over 2.5 is underpriced relative to the statistical fair odds.

odds available at 09:55