The analysis shows a massive disparity in recent form, with Red Star being significantly stronger. The short-term model, reflecting this form, suggests fair odds as low as 1.61, indicating strong value against the market price. Head-to-head records also favor Red Star.

odds available at 09:45

Red Star shows strong short-term form and a significant goal difference advantage. The ELO model and predicted match odds also favor an away win, with fair odds lower than the market back price.

odds available at 09:45

Multiple models converge on Red Star as clear favourite: predicted odds range 1.61-2.61 vs market 2.24. Boulogne's home form is terrible (0.5 points per game, -8 goal difference last 6), while Red Star shows solid away form (1.67 points per game). The Poisson model gives Red Star 1.49 expected goals vs Boulogne's 0.5.

odds available at 09:45

Red Star boasts vastly superior short-term form and expected goals compared to a struggling Boulogne side, and the market is offering generous odds that underestimate the away team's clear statistical advantage.

odds available at 09:45

Boulogne are in dreadful form (0.5 points per game, minus-8 goal difference) while Red Star are consistent across both windows at 1.67 points per game, and the recent Poisson projection gives the visitors three times the goal expectation. The short-term model prices the away win at 1.61 versus 2.24 available; only the ELO model is against, so the stake stays small.

odds available at 09:45

The away team Red Star has been in strong recent form on the road and has posted a positive goal difference in their last six outings. The statistical model predicts a clear favorite for an away victory, with the predicted odds of 1.61 suggesting the true probability significantly exceeds the market's assessment based on the odds of 2.24.

odds available at 09:45