The ELO model suggests significant value, rating Burgos as a 1.63 chance, a notable difference from the market price of 1.70. This is underpinned by a substantial ELO rating advantage of over 200 points. Burgos also comes into the game with strong home form over both the last 6 and 12 games.

odds available at 09:45

Burgos shows strong form and goal difference, with predicted odds favoring a home win. The market underestimates Burgos' chances compared to the fair value odds, providing a clear edge.

odds available at 09:45

Burgos have excellent short-term form and a strong ELO advantage over Ceuta, who have a poor goal difference. The predicted home odds are around 1.63, below the market back price of 1.70, indicating value on the home win.

odds available at 09:45

Burgos has strong home form, a +3 goal difference vs Ceuta's -10, and a huge ELO edge (1651 vs 1425). ELO and goal-difference models both price Burgos around 1.50-1.63, meaningfully shorter than the market 1.70.

odds available at 09:45

Burgos have strong home form and a large ELO edge over a poor Ceuta side carrying a heavily negative goal difference, with all fair-odds models placing the home win around 1.5 to 1.63, below the 1.70 back price. Multiple signals align on a clear home advantage.

odds available at 09:45