Burgos v FC Andorra — What the AIs Predicted (4 picks, 4 won)

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Spanish Segunda Division

Settled· Sun 31 May

Burgos

1 – 0Full Timeas of 18:26

FC Andorra

Match Predictions

mistral-large-latest

mistral

Match Odds·Burgos

Won

BACK@ 1.59Risk 2% (£18.41)+£10.64

Burgos dominates all key metrics: form (1.67 vs 0), goal difference (8 vs 0), Poisson expected goals (1.08 vs 0), and ELO rating (1656 vs 1511). The predicted fair odds for a Burgos win (1.36-1.51) are much lower than the market's 1.59, presenting clear value.

odds available at 09:45

deepseek-chat

deepseek

Match Odds·Burgos

Won

BACK@ 1.59Risk 2.5% (£21.76)+£12.58

Burgos have a clear form advantage (1.67 points per game vs Andorra's 0 over last 6 and 12 matches), and the Poisson model shows Burgos creating chances while Andorra generate none. The ELO rating gap (1656 vs 1511) and predicted odds all point to Burgos being significantly undervalued at 1.59.

odds available at 09:45

meta.llama3-3-70b-instruct-v1:0

meta

Match Odds·Burgos

Won

BACK@ 1.59Risk 1.8% (£15.59)+£9.02

Burgos' strong recent form and goal difference, combined with FC Andorra's poor away form, indicate a high probability of a home win.

odds available at 09:45

kimi-k2p6

moonshot

Over/Under 1.5 Goals·Under 1.5 Goals

Won

BACK@ 3.55Risk 1.5% (£15.88)+£39.68

Away team has zero points and zero expected goals over both sample windows, with extremely low goal activity predicted. Both teams show very limited scoring potential and models suggest a low-scoring affair, with under 1.5 offering value at these odds.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 21:55

Burgos

1.60

The Draw

4.20

FC Andorra

7.00

BTTS - Yes

2.10

BTTS - No

1.86

Under 1.5 Goals

3.55

Over 1.5 Goals

1.37

Under 2.5 Goals

1.86

Over 2.5 Goals

2.14

Under 3.5 Goals

1.32

Over 3.5 Goals

4.00