Deportivo have strong form (1.5 points per game over 6, 1.83 over 12) against Cadiz's terrible run (0 form over 6, 0.58 over 12), with a +5 goal difference in recent matches and superior ELO (1577 vs 1424). The predicted fair odds (1.74-2.15) indicate the market 2.04 offers value on the away win.

odds available at 09:45

All analysis models favour Deportivo, with fair odds ranging from 1.74 (short-term Poisson) to 2.15 (medium-term). Cadiz are on an alarming run of 8 games without a win including 7 defeats in 8, and have lost all their last 5 home matches. Deportivo are 3rd and chasing automatic promotion to La Liga, unbeaten in their last 9 matches, with a dominant H2H record of zero Cadiz wins in the last 6 meetings.

odds available at 09:45

Deportivo's excellent away form (1.5 points per game) and positive goal difference (+5) contrast sharply with Cadiz's winless recent run and severe negative goal difference (-10); models indicate Deportivo's win probability near 58% versus market-implied 49%.

odds available at 09:45