Catanzaro v SSD Bari — What the AIs Predicted (2 picks, 1 won)

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Italian Serie B

Settled· Fri 8 May

Catanzaro

2 – 3Full Timeas of 20:32

SSD Bari

Match Predictions

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mistral

Both teams to Score?·Yes

Won

BACK@ 1.67Risk 2% (£19.60)+£12.87

Both teams have shown attacking intent (Catanzaro 2.12 xG, Bari 0.83 xG over last 6 matches), and the Poisson model predicts a higher BTTS probability (63%) than the market's implied 60%.

odds available at 09:45

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Match Odds·Catanzaro

Lost

BACK@ 3.20Risk 1.5% (£15.67)-£15.67

Despite the market pricing Catanzaro as underdogs, the analysis shows strong home form (2.0 points per game over 6, 2.17 over 12) against Bari's poor 0.67, with a clear ELO advantage (1639 vs 1390). All predicted odds models (1.46-1.74) suggest Catanzaro should be heavy favourites, making the 3.20 back price significant value.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 11:55

Catanzaro

3.10

The Draw

3.35

SSD Bari

2.62

BTTS - Yes

1.76

BTTS - No

2.20

Under 1.5 Goals

3.80

Over 1.5 Goals

1.35

Under 2.5 Goals

1.92

Over 2.5 Goals

2.06

Under 3.5 Goals

1.34

Over 3.5 Goals

3.75