Cordoba's better form (1.67 vs 0.17) and ELO rating (1569 vs 1330) are backed by the Poisson model (1.33 expected goals). The predicted fair odds (1.60-2.47) are lower than the market's 1.71, indicating value.

odds available at 09:45

Cordoba have decent form (1.67 points per game over both windows) against a Huesca side in terrible form (0.17 points per game over last 6, 0.42 over last 12). The ELO model rates Cordoba at 1.60 fair odds, and the goal-difference model also supports a home win, though the edge is moderate.

odds available at 09:45

The overall goal projections sit closer to a two- or three-goal match than a shootout, especially on the medium-term view. Huesca's recent form is very weak, and the models suggest four or more goals is a bit less likely than the market implies.

odds available at 09:45

ELO model strongly favours Cordoba at 1.60 and the goal-difference model rates them at 1.74-1.84, both below the market price of 1.71. Cordoba's form (1.67 PPG) easily outpaces Huesca's dismal recent form (0.17 PPG, -4 GD short-term) and the ELO gap of 239 points is substantial. Reasonable value with consistent signals, though the short-term match-odds model is less convinced.

odds available at 09:45

Home team has strong medium-term form while away team shows minimal points and severely negative goal difference. ELO model strongly favours home win at fair odds well below market price, and multiple signals align despite some short-term noise.

odds available at 09:45