Cottbus have a perfect short-term form score (maximum 3.0 over last 6) and their Poisson xG projection gives them a huge attacking advantage (2.75 vs 0.64). The form-based model prices a home win at 1.24 and the medium-term model at 1.35, both far below the market price of 2.54, suggesting significant underestimation of the home side. ELO model is more cautious but still favours home; the market price implies only 39% probability whereas the attacking and form signals point well above 60%.

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Cottbus has perfect short-term form, contrasting sharply with Greuther Furth's terrible recent results. The Poisson and ELO models both show significant value in a home win, with the home side's fair odds estimated to be much lower than the market price. The ELO rating difference further supports Cottbus being underrated here.

odds available at 09:55

Cottbus shows exceptional short-term form (3.0 PPG over last 6 matches) and strong goal difference (+7 over last 12). The predicted home win odds (1.24-1.35) are significantly lower than the market's 2.54, indicating value. ELO and Poisson models also favor Cottbus.

odds available at 09:55

Cottbus have perfect short-term form with a very high expected goals output, while Greuther Furth are in terrible form. The market price of 2.54 is generous compared to the model's fair odds, which strongly favour the home side.

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The home team holds a strong short-term form and a significant ELO advantage over the away team. Multiple analytical models project fair odds well below the available market price, indicating substantial value.

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The home team's recent form has been strong, with an average of 3 points per game, and their goal difference is -1, indicating a relatively stable defense. The away team's recent form has been weak, with an average of 0.33 points per game, and their goal difference is -1, indicating a struggling attack. The predicted odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.74, which is higher than the market odds of 2.72, indicating value on the under 2.5 goals selection.

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The Poisson model projects very low away expected goals (0.64-0.97) and strong home form (3.0 points per game), with fair odds for under 2.5 at 1.52-1.39. Market offers 2.72, implying only 36.8% probability, while the statistical models suggest 55-65% probability. Clear value on low-scoring game despite Cottbus dominance.

odds available at 09:40

Cottbus show perfect recent and medium-term form while Greuther Furth are struggling, and the Poisson projection gives the home side a clear expected-goals advantage. The main win models and ELO view Cottbus as shorter than the market, so 2.54 looks too big.

odds available at 09:55

Cottbus have near-perfect short-term form and a huge expected goals edge at home, while Greuther Furth are winless in recent matches. The statistical models consistently rate Cottbus' win probability well above the 2.54 back price, making this clear value.

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Cottbus have perfect short- and medium-term form against a struggling opponent, while the ELO and result models all price the home win below the market odds. The market implies only 39.4%, which appears too low.

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Cottbus have perfect recent form (3.0 PPG over the last 6) against near-winless visitors (0.33), with a dominant expected goals profile of 2.75 vs 0.64. Every model — Poisson, goal difference and ELO — rates the home win clearly shorter than the 2.54 on offer, making the market price look too generous.

odds available at 09:55

strong short-term home form paired with terrible away performance creates a clear mismatch, with the model's expected-goal and ELO projections both favoring the home side substantially while the market underestimates this disparity.

odds available at 09:55