The statistical models show a significant discrepancy between the predicted odds and the market price, strongly favoring an away win. Nottingham Forest's excellent short-term form contrasts sharply with Crystal Palace's recent struggles.

odds available at 09:45

Nottingham Forest boasts superb recent form and a dominant Poisson goal expectation compared to the hosts. The form-based models strongly indicate the away side is overpriced here.

odds available at 09:45

Forest's short-term form and attacking output are far superior to Palace's, who are winless in recent form with a strongly negative goal difference, and the form-based and goal-difference models make Forest a clear favourite. The market still prices this near even, so Forest at 2.68 is underestimated; only the ELO rating tempers confidence, keeping the stake moderate.

odds available at 09:45