Curacao’s attack has produced just one goal (in a 7–1 defeat) and none versus Ecuador (0–0), while Ivory Coast kept a clean sheet vs Ecuador and only conceded to Germany. At 1.64 the market implies ~61%; I estimate the chance of at least one team blanking closer to 66%. ([euronews.com](https://www.euronews.com/2026/06/14/football-curacao-scores-its-first-ever-fifa-world-cup-goal-equalising-against-germany?utm_source=openai))

odds available at 09:45

Ivory Coast are a top African side with vastly superior squad depth and quality compared to Curacao, a minnow nation. The market price of 1.19 implies roughly 84% probability, but given the gulf in class and Curacao's lack of World Cup pedigree, Ivory Coast's true win probability is higher.

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Ivory Coast need a result to qualify for the knockout rounds for the first time ever and will attack a Curaçao side that has allowed 27 shots on target in just two games. Curaçao are virtually eliminated but have nothing to lose and may push forward, creating an open game. The Ivorian attack featuring Adingra, Diallo and Diomande should exploit the quality gap.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match research points to a clear quality and defensive gap, with Ivory Coast expected to control territory and Curacao likely to spend long spells without sustained attacking pressure. At 1.64 the market implies 61.0%, and I make both teams scoring less likely than that.

odds available at 09:45

Ivory Coast are highly motivated needing a win to reach the knockouts and have scored in almost every World Cup match they have played, while Curacao are the tournament's smallest minnow who shipped seven to Germany. The mismatch in quality and motivation strongly favours at least two goals.

odds available at 09:45