Deportivo's exceptional short-term home form contrasts sharply with the visitor's very poor away results. While the market odds are short, the analysis models are in consensus that they represent fair value, making this a solid high-probability selection.

odds available at 09:45

Deportivo's strong form (2.67 points per game over last 6 matches) and high Poisson xG (1.81) indicate clear dominance. The ELO model predicts fair odds of 1.60, matching the market price but with strong supporting metrics.

odds available at 09:45

Deportivo have outstanding short-term form (2.67 points per game over last 6) while Leganes are in terrible form (0.33). The Poisson model, goal difference, and ELO rating all strongly favour a home win, and the market back price of 1.60 offers value against the predicted fair odds around 1.54-1.61.

odds available at 09:45

Deportivo demonstrates strong short-term home form and positive goal difference, while Leganes has poor away form and negative goal difference. The models align in suggesting the market slightly underestimates the home win probability.

odds available at 09:45

Deportivo's short-term form is exceptional (2.67 ppg) versus Leganes' poor 0.33 ppg, with a strong ELO advantage (1671 vs 1434). All three predicted models point to home odds around 1.54-1.60, aligning with the market price and offering value at 1.60.

odds available at 09:45