Despite being priced as home favourites, Dunkerque are heavily opposed by both ELO and form-based models, which suggest their true chance of winning is far lower. Annecy boasts superior recent goal difference and Poisson projections, making a lay on the hosts excellent value.

odds available at 09:45

Annecy has made a stronger start to the campaign and historically dominates this matchup, winning four of the last six encounters. Dunkerque's short-term form and Poisson expected goals show clear vulnerability, making them an unstable home favorite.

odds available at 09:45

Annecy hold the better recent form and clearly superior attacking numbers in both windows, and the form-based models make them favourites despite the market pricing them as underdogs at 3.30. Stake kept small because the ELO model sees the teams as evenly matched.

odds available at 09:45

Annecy is in notably better recent form than Dunkerque across both short and medium-term windows with a far superior goal difference trend, and both the short- and medium-term fair-odds models as well as the ELO model all point the same direction of an undervalued away side.

odds available at 09:45