Stuttgart's Poisson xG (2.64 vs 1.61) and short-term model fair odds (1.68) strongly favour the away side, while the medium-term model gives 1.62 — both well below the market price of 1.96. Stuttgart's 12-match goal difference of +11 against Frankfurt's +1 confirms sustained attacking superiority. The market at 1.96 implies only 51% for Stuttgart; the statistical models collectively suggest the true probability is closer to 58%.

odds available at 09:45

All analysis points towards a high-scoring affair. The predicted fair odds for over 3.5 goals are considerably lower than the market price, and both short and medium-term Poisson models project a total expected goals figure of over 4.0.

odds available at 09:45

Poisson xG totals of 4.25 (short-term) and 4.04 (medium-term) produce fair Over 3.5 odds of 1.63-1.74, below the market price of 1.82. Stuttgart are fighting for the final Champions League spot and need a result, while Frankfurt are also battling for European places, creating conditions for an open, high-scoring match.

odds available at 09:45