Both short- and medium-term goal models price Over 2.5 well below the market, and recent expected goals total is above 4, pointing to an open game.

odds available at 09:55

Both the short-term and medium-term models indicate strong value for a high-scoring game, with predicted fair odds significantly lower than the market price. This is further supported by the Poisson models, which project a combined expected goals total of over 3.4.

odds available at 09:55

Poisson expected goals total is extremely high at 4.06 over the short-term window (2.11 + 1.95) and 3.46 over the medium-term window (1.57 + 1.89). Both windows produce fair Over 2.5 odds well below the market price. End-of-season Scottish Premiership match with both teams in poor defensive form.

odds available at 09:55

All three match-price models rate Rangers as less likely winners than the market does. The recent form and goal profiles do not support such a short away price, so Rangers look overbet.

odds available at 09:55