Dutch EredivisieFC Utrecht
Willem II
Match Predictions
gemini-2.5-pro
Multiple models, particularly the ELO model, indicate significant value in the home side's price. FC Utrecht has substantially better recent form compared to Willem II, who have struggled significantly in their recent matches.
odds available at 09:55
mistral-large-latest
mistral
Strong short-term and medium-term home form, significantly higher ELO rating, and all three predictive models (match odds, goal difference, and ELO) favor FC Utrecht. The market odds undervalue the home win probability.
odds available at 09:55
gpt-5.6-sol
openai
Willem II's expected goal output is below 0.9 in both windows, while the statistical fair prices for both teams scoring are above 2.00. That makes the market-implied 60.6% probability look too high.
odds available at 09:50
grok-4.5
xai
Large ELO mismatch plus solid home form against near-winless away form and a clear Poisson edge for the hosts. The market price is softer than the ELO and form-implied fair line.
odds available at 09:55
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 03:55
FC Utrecht
1.59
The Draw
4.60
Willem II
6.20
BTTS - Yes
1.61
BTTS - No
2.58
Under 1.5 Goals
7.20
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
Under 2.5 Goals
3.00
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
Under 3.5 Goals
1.82
Over 3.5 Goals
2.18