Feyenoord have a very high Poisson expected goals of 2.64 (short-term) and 2.39 (medium-term), making them one of the highest-scoring teams in the data. The statistical model places fair odds for over 3.5 goals at 2.05 (short-term) and 2.51 (medium-term), with the short-term window almost exactly matching the market price, suggesting at minimum fair value. Given Feyenoord's dominant attack against a weak Telstar side, the over 3.5 at 2.06 represents slight value.