Inter’s high-scoring form and elevated combined xG point to a goalsy game. Multiple models price the Over considerably shorter than market.

odds available at 10:45

Inter has a perfect short-term form score of 3.0 over the last 6 matches, with an ELO rating 225 points above Fiorentina's. The ELO model fair odds for Inter are 1.64 and the goal difference model prices them at 1.57, both below the market back price of 1.69 indicating BACK value. Inter's 12-match goal difference of +22 and dominant recent form suggest the market is underestimating their probability.

odds available at 10:45

Inter's superior form and ELO rating make them strong favorites. The predicted odds for an Inter win are lower than the market back price, indicating value.

odds available at 10:45

Combined Poisson xG of 3.91 short-term and 3.30 medium-term. Inter's perfect 3.0 form over 6 matches with +12 goal difference signals an attack-heavy side. The predicted fair odds of 1.34-1.56 for over 2.5 make the market price of 1.81 generous. Both teams contributing expected goals with BTTS fair odds around 1.36-1.56.

odds available at 10:45