Both recent and medium-term goal projections point to a low-scoring match, with Gillingham's attacking numbers especially poor. The fair goal models make over 2.5 much less likely than the market, creating value on the under.

odds available at 09:45

Fleetwood's fair odds cluster around 1.6 across all three models versus the market's 2.00. Gillingham carry a heavy negative goal difference and very poor form, and the ELO gap of over 240 points strongly favours the hosts. Clear value on the home side.

odds available at 09:45

The fair odds for over 2.5 goals sit above 3.10 in both sample windows against a market barely favouring unders. Gillingham's recent form is very poor with a heavily negative goal difference, and combined expected goals are around two.

odds available at 09:45