Galatasaray’s recent scoring form and xG output are high, and my totals model has Over 2.5 around 1.35–1.45. 1.52 is still playable.

Galatasaray have an ELO rating of 1898 and average 2.67 points per game with a massive 2.84 Poisson expected goals over 6 matches. The 12-match fair odds on over 2.5 are just 1.38, and the short-term window gives 1.42, both considerably below the market's 1.52. Galatasaray's dominant home record and Alanyaspor's attacking limitations make a comfortable home win with multiple goals the most likely outcome.