Germany have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven World Cup matches, and Ivory Coast have shown they can score — netting a dramatic 90th-minute winner against Ecuador in game one. With Germany's prolific attack (7-1 vs Curaçao) almost certain to threaten, and Ivory Coast possessing a capable strike threat, the market-implied probability of 56.5% appears to undervalue this outcome. Ivory Coast's Ndicka remaining doubtful at centre-back adds further defensive fragility on their side.

odds available at 09:45

Germany are on a 10-game winning streak and are prolific scorers, but have conceded in four of their last five matches. [4, 11] Ivory Coast carry a significant counter-attack threat and have scored in their last 11 consecutive games. [4] This suggests a strong probability that both teams will find the net.

odds available at 09:45

Germany have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 World Cup matches, and Ivory Coast have genuine attacking quality including Amad Diallo who scored the winner vs Ecuador. Germany's 7-1 demolition of Curacao confirms their potent attack. While Ivory Coast are a step up defensively from Curacao, Germany's offensive firepower with Musiala, Wirtz, and Havertz should still find the net. Market implies 56.5% for BTTS — I estimate around 62%.

odds available at 09:45

Germany showed incredible offensive firepower in their 7-1 opening win but demonstrated defensive vulnerability by conceding to Curaçao. Ivory Coast possesses an extremely fast, dangerous counter-attacking frontline that is well-suited to exploit Germany's high defensive line, making goals for both sides highly likely.

odds available at 09:45