The short-term and medium-term goal projections both point to a low-scoring game, with total expected goals around two. Leganes bring weak attacking form, and the BTTS numbers also lean toward a tighter match.

odds available at 09:45

Girona have a big ELO edge over Leganes and much stronger recent form, with the ELO and match odds models both pricing them around 1.69-1.89. Leganes' very weak short-term form (0.17 ppg) supports Girona as a value home favourite at 1.64.

odds available at 09:45

Combined expected goals sit around two across both samples and the away side's form is very poor, so the models make over 2.5 a long price. Under 2.5 at evens is therefore value against a soft market total.

odds available at 09:45