The predicted BTTS odds (1.98) and both teams' recent defensive struggles (combined 12 goals conceded in last 6) suggest a lower chance of both teams scoring than the market's 1.75 for Yes implies.

odds available at 08:45

Both teams have similar Poisson expected goals (1.33 each over 12 matches), and the predicted BTTS odds of 1.85-1.98 indicate the true probability is around 52-54%, while the market back price of 1.75 implies only 57%. Granada's home form is modest but Sporting's away form is poor, making a both-teams-to-score outcome likely given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities.

odds available at 09:45

Granada's predicted fair odds are lower than the market odds, and their home form over the last 6 matches is stronger, indicating a potential value in backing them.

odds available at 09:45

Sporting Gijon has dreadful short-term form at 0.5 points per game and negative goal difference, while Granada has home advantage and better medium-term form. Multiple models predict away win odds of 3.07 or higher, making the market price of 3.0 look too short. The ELO model also rates these teams as nearly equal strength, not favoring an away win at these odds.

odds available at 09:45