Both time windows indicate a cagey game with combined expected goals well under two. 1.89 is above our fair price for the under.

odds available at 08:45

The statistical analysis points heavily towards a low-scoring affair, with both teams showing very low expected goals based on recent matches. The model-generated odds for over 2.5 goals are very high, indicating significant value on the under selection at the current market price.

odds available at 08:45

This is one of the clearest low-total profiles on the card, with both teams projected at around or below one expected goal. The match models also give the draw strong respect, which fits a tight, low-event game.

odds available at 08:45

The ELO model's fair odds for Metz to win are lower than the market odds, indicating a potential value bet, and the away team's recent form suggests they have a good chance of winning or drawing the match.

odds available at 09:45

The market implies 52.9% for under 2.5, while both recent and medium-term goal projections are low. The expected-goals profile is modest for both teams, making the market look too optimistic about a three-goal match.

odds available at 08:45

The short-term goal projection totals only 1.50 expected goals, with the medium-term figure also below two. Both analysis windows price under 2.5 goals considerably shorter than the market.

odds available at 08:45