Strong short-term home form and a clear ELO strength edge back Hearts. Our blended fair is around 1.6–1.7, so 1.75 is a playable premium.

odds available at 09:45

There is a compelling case for a home win based on multiple strong signals. Hearts have a perfect recent form score at home, contrasting with Dundee Utd's very poor away form, and possess a massive ELO rating advantage, with the ELO model indicating fair odds should be much shorter.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts' dominant short-term form (3.0 points per game over last 6 matches) and strong goal difference (+2) suggest attacking potency. The Poisson model predicts 1.81 xG for Hearts and 0.83 xG for Dundee Utd, with fair odds for Over 2.5 Goals around 1.87-2.03, below the market's 1.73.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts are in outstanding form with a perfect short-term record, while Dundee Utd are struggling. The ELO model strongly favours Hearts, and the market price of 1.75 offers value against the model's fair odds of 1.44-1.65.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have excellent short-term and medium-term form, while Dundee Utd’s recent numbers are weak across the board. The strength ratings and goal-based models both make the home win slightly more likely than the market price suggests.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have been flawless in their last six matches, while Dundee Utd have struggled terribly on form. Short-term form, expected goals, and the ELO strength rating all strongly align to price a home win significantly shorter than what the market is offering.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have perfect short-term form (3.0) versus Dundee Utd's 0.33, a huge ELO gap of over 300 points, and the ELO model fair-prices Hearts at 1.44. Multiple signals align strongly for a home win; market 1.75 has clear value.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts show dominant short-term form with a perfect 3.0 average over 6 matches and strong home goal difference, while Dundee Utd have only 0.33 form away. The ELO model prices Hearts at 1.44 fair odds vs market 1.75, and goal-difference model at 1.7. Multiple models align on significant home value.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have been in flawless short-term form and maintain a dominant ELO strength rating over Dundee Utd. The market is underestimating the home team's overwhelming recent performance and underlying quality advantage.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have maximum short-term form and a huge ELO advantage over out-of-form Dundee Utd, with the ELO model fair-pricing the home win near 1.44 versus a market price of 1.75. Multiple signals (form, goal difference, Poisson expectation) all converge on a comfortable home win.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts' perfect recent form and dominant ELO rating make them strong favourites, but the market still offers a back price above the model's fair value. The home win is the value selection.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts have perfect short-term form and a substantial advantage across the longer sample, goal difference and projected goals. Their large ELO superiority also supports a home-win probability above the market's 57.1%.

odds available at 09:45

Hearts' perfect short-term form, dominant ELO advantage and aligned goal-difference and Poisson models all price a home win clearly shorter than the market's 1.75. Multiple independent signals converge on a material edge with no meaningful contradiction.

odds available at 09:45