Both sides are in strong short‑term form and the Poisson projection points to a high combined goal expectation. Both short- and medium‑term totals models price Over 2.5 notably shorter than 1.75, making this a value back.

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Both teams show strong attacking form (Hearts 2.67 PPG, Rangers 2.0 PPG over last 6 matches) and high Poisson expected goals (1.49 and 1.97 respectively). The predicted fair odds for BTTS (1.50) are lower than the market back price (1.69), suggesting the market is underestimating the likelihood of both teams scoring.

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Hearts have outstanding short-term form (2.67 points per game over last 6) and a positive goal difference, while their ELO rating actually exceeds Rangers'. The predicted fair odds from multiple models (2.49-3.46) suggest Hearts are competitive at the 2.86 price.

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Both the short-term and medium-term models price BTTS at 1.50 and 1.42 respectively, well below the market price of 1.69, indicating the market underrates the likelihood of both teams scoring. Poisson expected goals are high for both sides (1.49/1.97 over 6 matches, 1.65/2.04 over 12). This is a Scottish Premiership title decider with Hearts top and Rangers third, ensuring maximum attacking intent from both sides. Three of the last four H2H meetings saw both teams score.

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Both teams show solid expected goals and form, with models indicating a strong chance of both scoring in recent matches. This aligns across short and medium-term data, offering value over the market's assessment.

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Both teams show strong, consistent attacking output across recent fixtures with robust expected goals metrics and positive goal differences. Statistical models across short and medium-term windows project a significantly higher probability of both scoring than the market implies.

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Recent and medium-term numbers both support a high-scoring game, with strong attacking expectations for each side and a high combined expected-goals total. The fair prices for goals are shorter than the market, so over 2.5 looks undervalued.

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Both teams have strong attacking expected goals (Hearts ~1.5, Rangers ~2.0) and the model fairly prices BTTS Yes around 1.42-1.50. The 1.69 market price offers reasonable back value in a high-quality fixture between two top-of-the-table sides.

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Rangers' strong away form and goal difference, combined with Hearts' inconsistent home record, make Rangers a good bet to win, especially given the predicted odds and ELO model favouring an away win.

odds available at 09:45