The market price implies a much higher probability of an away win than suggested by form, goal difference, and ELO models. Hull's identical recent form score, combined with Man Utd having some key players unavailable or doubtful, makes the short odds appear to offer strong lay value.

odds available at 09:55

Manchester United are exceptionally short priced for an away fixture against a Hull side possessing identical short-term form. All three analytical models suggest a fair price in the region of 2.10 to 2.50, exposing immense value in a lay approach.

odds available at 09:55

The market prices Man Utd like an overwhelming favourite, but every model — recent form, goal difference and ELO — has their fair price above 2.10, with the two sides rated near-equal on underlying strength. This looks like pure reputation pricing, so I'm happy to oppose them at a very short number.

odds available at 09:55