The medium-term Poisson xG for Inverness is strong at 1.97 for home and 1.32 for away, with the model's 12-match fair odds for over 2.5 at 1.57 versus the market's 1.83. The BTTS model also gives fair odds of 1.58 across the medium term, indicating a consistently high-scoring fixture. Both teams carry positive recent goal differences and strong form scores, with multiple signals aligned toward goals.

odds available at 09:45

The 12-match Poisson model projects combined expected goals of 3.29 (1.97 home, 1.32 away), with predicted Over 2.5 fair odds of 1.57 — significantly below the market price of 1.83. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, with Inverness showing strong home attacking form (2.33 ppg over 12, +6 GD). The short-term data (predicted O2.5 at 2.20) is less bullish, so staking is moderate.

odds available at 09:45

Inverness CT's strong home form and Partick's inconsistent away performances make Inverness CT a more likely winner than the market odds suggest.

odds available at 09:45