Inverness have strong recent attacking numbers and the xG baseline is high. Both short- and medium-term models have over 2.5 well below this price.

odds available at 10:45

Inverness CT have excellent short-term form (2.67 average points per game) against a Peterhead side at just 1.5, with Inverness posting a Poisson xG of 2.52 at home vs 1.14 for the visitors. All three models — statistical, goal difference, and ELO — place the fair odds for Inverness between 1.46 and 1.59, suggesting the market price of 1.35 may slightly undervalue them but still offers reasonable confidence given the strength disparity.

odds available at 10:45

Inverness CT's strong recent form and expected goals metrics make them heavily undervalued at these odds. The ELO model also strongly favors a home win.

odds available at 10:45

Inverness shows very strong recent form and a high ELO rating advantage. The ELO model's fair odds of 1.56 are much higher than the market back price of 1.35, suggesting the market is underestimating the home win probability. With an implied probability of 74.1%, our true probability estimate of 75% indicates solid value.

odds available at 10:45