Both attacks are in hot form with very high recent expected goals. All models view Over 2.5 as odds‑on, so the market price looks too big.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams have high expected goals figures with Inverness averaging over 2.2 and Queen of South over 2.0 per game in recent matches. The Poisson-derived fair odds for over 2.5 goals sit around 1.22-1.39, significantly below the market's 1.78 back price, indicating strong value. Both teams' short-term form and goal output make a high-scoring game very likely.

odds available at 09:45

Inverness CT demonstrates dominant short-term form (2.33 points per game) and a substantial ELO advantage (1744 vs 1523). Predicted odds (1.65-1.81) are lower than the market's 1.51 back price, suggesting the market may be underpricing their chances.

odds available at 10:45

Strong goal expectation signals with predicted odds of 1.22 over 6 matches and 1.39 over 12 matches, both much lower than the market back price of 1.78. Both teams have high expected goals (2.38 for Inverness, 2.09 for Queen of South over last 6 matches) and the BTTS model shows very high likelihood of both teams scoring at 1.26 predicted odds, suggesting an open, high-scoring match.

odds available at 09:45

High expected goals from both teams in recent matches suggest a much greater chance of over 2.5 goals than the market implies, though the discrepancy warrants caution and a smaller stake.

odds available at 09:45