Both teams show excellent recent form and chance creation, and all model views expect goals at both ends. The market underrates BTTS Yes.

Both Ipswich and Hull show exceptional recent form (2.67 points per game each over 6 matches), very high combined Poisson expected goals of nearly 4.0, and the short-term over 2.5 goals fair odds model places this at just 1.33. The market at 1.75 offers meaningful value for a high-scoring match between two in-form sides.

This is a prime example of an overpriced favourite. While Ipswich are a strong team, their recent form is identical to Hull's. The statistical models based on recent performances suggest this is a much closer match than the odds imply.