Ipswich show strong form across both windows at 2.67 and 2.5 points per game with a large positive goal difference. The statistical models estimate fair odds around 1.77-2.04 for Ipswich, while the ELO model rates them at 1.77. The market price of 1.72 is close to fair value but the convergence of all models supporting an Ipswich win justifies a small BACK.

odds available at 10:55

While Ipswich are in great form, Millwall's recent away performances have also been excellent. The statistical models suggest that the market is overrating the home side's chances, creating value in betting against them at the current short price.

odds available at 10:55

Ipswich's strong short-term form and ELO rating suggest a home win is likely, with the market odds offering value.

odds available at 10:55

Ipswich have excellent form (2.67 short-term, 2.50 medium-term) with a +11 goal difference over 12 matches. The ELO model prices them at 1.77, the Poisson model at 1.97-2.04, and the goal-difference model at 2.02-2.23. The market price of 1.72 is below the ELO fair value, offering genuine back value against a Millwall side whose medium-term form drops to 1.50.

odds available at 10:55