Medium-term trend and ELO lean to a home win, with recent form acceptable and defensive numbers steady. The market price over 2.30 is above fair value.

odds available at 09:55

The home side shows value across all statistical models, particularly the ELO model which suggests a significant edge over the away team. Kaiserslautern's strong recent home form further supports the case that they are under-priced by the market.

odds available at 09:55

Kaiserslautern show better short and medium-term form, a positive goal difference trend, and a clear ELO advantage over Bochum, yet the market price implies a notably lower win chance than any of the statistical models suggest.

odds available at 09:55

Kaiserslautern's better short-term form, positive goal difference, higher ELO rating and greater expected goals all favour the home side. The models price them near 1.85-2.10, so the 2.36 available represents modest value.

odds available at 09:55

All five home-win models are shorter than the 2.36 on offer, ranging from 1.84 on ELO to 2.23 on short-term form. Kaiserslautern are in better form over both the last 6 and last 12 games. A cautious 47% estimate is still above the market's 42%.

odds available at 09:55

Kaiserslautern boast superior short-term and medium-term form alongside a substantial ELO rating advantage over Bochum. All statistical, goal-difference, and ELO models price a home win between 1.84 and 2.23, making the market price of 2.36 clear value.

odds available at 09:55