Away side show stronger recent and medium-term form with a clear expected-goals edge, and the ELO model rates them superior. The market price is longer than fair, so backing the away win has value.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams are in excellent recent form and scoring consistently. The analysis models show a slight edge, but the underlying expected goals data, which projects goals for both sides, is the most compelling signal. Trabzonspor are unbeaten in five, while Konyaspor have won four of their last five matches.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams have strong attacking form with positive goal differences, and the predicted BTTS odds of 1.63-1.69 are in line with the market. The Poisson expected goals for both sides (1.33 home, 1.81 away over 6 matches) suggest a high likelihood of both scoring.

odds available at 09:45

Short-term and medium-term BTTS fair odds of 1.63 and 1.69 align closely with the market price of 1.67, indicating the analysis sees this as a near-certainty relative to the odds. Combined Poisson xG of 3.14 (short-term) supports a high-scoring profile. Research confirms 11 of the last 12 meetings saw both teams score, both teams are in strong form, and Konyaspor are on a 12-match unbeaten home run.

odds available at 09:45

The away team shows strong medium-term form and a higher ELO rating, with the Poisson model expecting more goals from them. Multiple statistical models provide fair odds lower than the market price, indicating value in backing the away win.

odds available at 09:45

Trabzonspor boast strong form over both the short and medium term, outperforming Konyaspor in points and expected goals. The Poisson and ELO models price an away win between 1.78 and 2.23, making the market price of 2.32 a clear value opportunity.

odds available at 09:45

Both short and medium-term goal models price Over 2.5 around 1.65, well below the market's 1.81. Both teams in solid attacking form with combined Poisson expected goals over 3.0 in the recent window, and BTTS is also priced cheaply.

odds available at 09:45