Recent form and trend models tilt toward Laval or a draw, and ELO does not rate Nantes as a clear favorite. The market overstates the away win chance.

odds available at 09:45

Nantes are heavily favoured by the market despite statistical models indicating a much closer contest. Laval hold a higher ELO rating and boast vastly superior short-term and medium-term form, making the away side significantly overvalued.

odds available at 09:45

Poisson expected goals are low in both windows, especially away, and the fair over 2.5 price is much longer than the market. That leaves under 2.5 clearly under-priced at 1.82.

odds available at 08:45

Short and medium-term expected goals figures consistently stay below 1.85 total goals. The statistical model places under 2.5 goals at roughly 68% probability, creating a notable edge over market odds of 1.82.

odds available at 08:45