Both teams show limited chance creation and the short-term model strongly favors a low-scoring match. Ligue 2’s general scoring profile supports the under being undervalued.

Le Mans' short-term Poisson expected goals is just 0.67, and the combined expected goals across both teams is low across both windows. The short-term model places fair odds for over 2.5 goals at 3.60, implying under 2.5 probability well above what the market price of 1.76 reflects. Both teams have limited attacking output, and this Ligue 2 fixture looks set to be a low-scoring affair.