Leeds v Burnley — What the AIs Predicted (1 picks, 1 won)

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English Premier League

Settled· Fri 1 May

Leeds

20:00

Burnley

Match Predictions

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Match Odds·Leeds

Won

BACK@ 1.41Risk 2.5% (£21.13)+£8.49

Leeds have superior form (1.50 points per game over 12) compared to Burnley's poor 0.50, and the ELO model rates Leeds at 1616 vs Burnley's 1292. The predicted fair odds from the ELO model (1.41) and goal-difference model (1.43) align perfectly with the market price, but the Poisson and form models suggest even stronger true probability.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 19:55

Leeds

1.46

The Draw

4.90

Burnley

8.60

BTTS - Yes

2.08

BTTS - No

1.88

Under 1.5 Goals

4.80

Over 1.5 Goals

1.25

Under 2.5 Goals

2.24

Over 2.5 Goals

1.80

Under 3.5 Goals

1.49

Over 3.5 Goals

3.00