Poisson forecasts around three goals and both short- and medium-term models make over 2.5 shorter than the market. Even with uncertainty on sides, the totals signal points to goals.

odds available at 09:45

Despite a poor head-to-head record against Panathinaikos, multiple analysis models show significant value in a home win. The ELO model provides the most conservative estimate but still suggests fair odds are much lower than the available price, while recent form and expected goals models are extremely favorable for the home side.

odds available at 09:45

Short-term Poisson xg and predicted over 2.5 odds of 1.66 indicate a clear goal expectation above the market's implied probability, supported by home short-term form and medium-term trends.

odds available at 09:45

The ELO model and medium-term trend data heavily suggest the market is overrating the visitors. Levadiakos boast a strong short-term form score and superior expected goals metrics, making a lay of Panathinaikos at these odds very attractive.

odds available at 09:45

The predicted_btts_odds_6 of 1.81 suggests a higher probability of both teams scoring than the market odds of 1.95, indicating value in backing 'Yes'.

odds available at 09:45