Lincoln have an exceptional short-term form score of 2.33 and a 12-match average of 2.42, backed by a goal difference of +20 over the season. The Poisson model projects 2.52 expected goals at home versus 1.30 for Blackpool, and the ELO model gives Lincoln fair odds of just 1.42. The goal difference model is even more bullish at 1.19, suggesting the market price of 1.50 undervalues Lincoln significantly.