Lincoln’s strong short-term home form and multiple models make them solid favorites. The market price is longer than fair, creating value.

odds available at 10:55

Lincoln show exceptional short-term form with near-perfect recent results and a goal difference of +14 over the last 6 matches, while Stockport have very poor form with a -2 goal difference. All three models — Poisson, goal-difference, and ELO — point to Lincoln as heavy favourites with implied probabilities well above the market price of 1.86.

odds available at 10:55

All statistical models are in strong agreement that the home team is significantly undervalued. This is reinforced by a massive advantage in recent form, goal difference, and ELO rating.

odds available at 10:55

Lincoln's dominant short-term form and goal difference, combined with strong ELO ratings, suggest a high probability of a home win. The market odds offer value compared to predicted fair odds.

odds available at 10:55

Lincoln are in exceptional form with 2.67 points per game over their last 6 matches and a dominant goal difference. The ELO model suggests fair odds of 1.57, while the market offers 1.86, indicating significant value. Stockport's poor away form makes this a strong home favorite.

odds available at 10:55