Liverpool's ELO rating of 1708 dwarfs Tottenham's 1385, with the ELO model producing fair odds of just 1.41 for a Liverpool win — well below the market's 1.31 back price, which actually offers slight value given the convergence of all three models. Short-term Poisson xG strongly favours Liverpool (2.12 vs 0.99), and Tottenham have been in poor recent form with a goal difference of -7 over their last six games.

odds available at 11:45

Liverpool's strong home form and expected goals metrics make them undervalued at these odds, especially against a struggling Tottenham side.

odds available at 10:45

Liverpool has a substantial ELO edge with fair odds of 1.41, while the market offers 1.32. Tottenham's poor recent form and negative goal difference suggest they are unlikely to get a result at Anfield.

odds available at 10:45